Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:46:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e74…f5c4
crypto · 174 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$332 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$331 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$331
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses109 / 64
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)173 / 174
History coverage16d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day37.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 173 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$317
7 days−$286
14 days−$331
30 days−$331
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -47%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $167 −$167 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$13 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$40 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +146%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$5 +242%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$5 +224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $25 −$20 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 09 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$329
sports 2% −$1
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 23m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 94¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 164 -8.2% -16.9% 64% 34% -23.6%
≤30d 173 -8.1% -16.9% 63% 35% -25.1%
≤90d 173 -8.1% -16.9% 63% 35% -25.1%
all 173 -8.1% -16.9% 63% 35% -25.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 35% -25.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 27% -32.2%
15% -32.1% 21% -38.8%
20% -38.8% 16% -44.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.02 · official $0.02 (match) · 749 history records