Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:10:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e72…85e2
crypto · 22 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$34 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open −$27
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$274
Realized−$6
Unrealized−$27
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses6 / 7
Open positions9
Markets (closed)13 / 22
History coverage1d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day31.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 9 History 13 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $104 +$4 (+4%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $72 $65 −$7 (-10%)
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $79 $59 −$20 (-25%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+14%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-10%)
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-25%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-17%)
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-25%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$7 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$20 +183%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$9 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$7 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% −$8
crypto 28% −$6
world 19% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $53 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $11 43m
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $52 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 3h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $55 3h
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $53 3h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $11 3h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 3h
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 3h
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $11 4h
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $11 4h
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $20 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $12 4h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $11 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $11 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-20.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -12.0% -20.3% 46% 31% -14.3%
≤30d 13 -12.0% -20.3% 46% 31% -14.3%
≤90d 13 -12.0% -20.3% 46% 31% -14.3%
all 13 -12.0% -20.3% 46% 31% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.3% 31% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -28.0% 23% -22.5%
15% -34.9% 23% -30.0%
20% -41.3% 23% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $274.03 · official $274.03 (match) · 40 history records