Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T11:16:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6E 0x6e69…6e36 crypto 740 markets active 1h ago coverage 15d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 14d only
✗ bot/MM pace (189 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$1,990 (-6%) realized −$1,990 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR9%break-even
Win rate87%646W / 94L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$44per market
Trades / day188.6pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$13
14 days−$303
30 days−$263
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% −$217
sports 3% −$18
other 1% +$15
tech 1% +$1
finance 0% +$4
politics 0% −$31
weather 0% −$18
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (189 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 165 -2.1% -11.4% 89% 8% -10.1%
≤30d 740 -2.0% -11.3% 87% 9% -10.3%
≤90d 740 -2.0% -11.3% 87% 9% -10.3%
all 740 -2.0% -11.3% 87% 9% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover188.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 9% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 3% -18.8%
15% -27.5% 1% -26.7%
20% -34.6% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
88% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$17 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,990
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses646 / 94
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)740 / 740
History coverage15d ⚠
Avg bet$44
Trades / day188.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 740 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $31 +$1 +4%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Jun 15 $25 +$1 +4%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 15 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +3%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 13? Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +18%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$26 +247%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 4h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 96¢ $26 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL No 97¢ $26 7h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 95¢ $5 7h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights SELL Hurricanes 100¢ $5 8h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Hurricanes 92¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 9h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 99¢ $7 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $7 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records