Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:58:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e69…ef01
crypto · 177 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$45 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$43
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses68 / 108
Open positions1
Markets (closed)176 / 177
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day266.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 176 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43
7 days−$43
14 days−$43
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 42¢ 68¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 58¢ 32¢ $6 $3 −$3 (-44%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$8 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$8 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-27.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 176 -19.9% -27.5% 39% 39% -13.6%
≤30d 176 -19.9% -27.5% 39% 39% -13.6%
≤90d 176 -19.9% -27.5% 39% 39% -13.6%
all 176 -19.9% -27.5% 39% 39% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover266.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.5% 39% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -34.5% 39% -21.8%
15% -40.8% 35% -29.4%
20% -46.6% 21% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.38 · official $10.30 (match) · 410 history records