Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:41:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e4d…1cb0
sports · 691 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$8,724 -43%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,976 · open +$167
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,398
Realized−$8,976
Unrealized+$167
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses384 / 483
Est. fees paid−$268
Open positions25
Markets (closed)867 / 691
History coverage9d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day341.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 25 History 867 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8,794
7 days−$8,780
14 days−$8,976
30 days−$8,976
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Eintracht Spandau 14¢ 35¢ $143 $351 +$208 (+145%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 41¢ 40¢ $157 $155 −$2 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 20¢ 100¢ $25 $128 +$102 (+402%)
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 64¢ 62¢ $115 $112 −$3 (-3%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $109 $97 −$13 (-12%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Misa Esports 70¢ 100¢ $67 $96 +$29 (+43%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $92 $91 −$1 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $83 $81 −$2 (-3%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No 87¢ 98¢ $70 $79 +$9 (+13%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 56¢ $53 $53 −$0 (-1%)
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 3¢ 12¢ $10 $35 +$26 (+267%)
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 Under 44¢ 42¢ $28 $27 −$1 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Spirit 75¢ 69¢ $26 $25 −$2 (-7%)
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $13 $17 +$4 (+30%)
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $15 −$5 (-25%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 12¢ 10¢ $13 $12 −$2 (-12%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 56¢ 80¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+42%)
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $22 $6 −$16 (-75%)
Counter-Strike: CSGOPOSITIVE vs Oldboys (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage Oldboys 45¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+11%)
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $6 $2 −$4 (-60%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 95¢ 1¢ $95 $1 −$94 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 14¢ 42¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+204%)
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+56%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner PARIVISION 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Team Liquid 77¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: CSGOPOSITIVE vs Oldboys (BO3) - Exort Series Contender Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $0 −$7 -35645%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +1233%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $130 −$130 -100%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$21 +13947%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw? Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$29 -590%
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $198 −$198 -100%
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$21 -120%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche Jun 12 $150 −$150 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $109 −$109 -100%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $122 −$122 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 13.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
World Championships: Latvia vs. Austria Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5) Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $197 −$197 -100%
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Zizou Bergs Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $93 −$93 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Jun 12 $75 −$50 -66%
Will PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL Playoffs Jun 12 $2 −$4 -201%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Q Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $39 −$127 -328%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MIBR (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$247
other 3% −$98
crypto 1% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 35¢ $38 9m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 31¢ $1 15m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 31¢ $7 16m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 31¢ $2 16m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 31¢ $4 16m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 31¢ $2 16m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 31¢ $8 16m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 31¢ $14 16m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 31¢ $10 16m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 31¢ $2 16m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 31¢ $2 17m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 31¢ $3 17m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 31¢ $11 17m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 31¢ $2 17m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 31¢ $32 17m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 1¢ $4 24m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 1¢ $2 24m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 33¢ $2 40m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 29¢ $7 56m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 32¢ $8 57m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 34¢ $8 57m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 34¢ $8 57m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 34¢ $8 57m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 30¢ $7 57m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 34¢ $5 58m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 33¢ $8 58m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 30¢ $7 58m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 30¢ $7 58m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 31¢ $7 59m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 33¢ $8 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 774 -7.6% -16.4% 42% 40% -40.8%
≤30d 867 -4.5% -13.6% 44% 42% -39.0%
≤90d 867 -4.5% -13.6% 44% 42% -39.0%
all 867 -4.5% -13.6% 44% 42% -39.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover341.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 42% -39.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 35% -44.8%
15% -29.4% 29% -50.1%
20% -36.3% 23% -55.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,398.26 · official $1,430.83 · 3500 history records