Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:25:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e41…5e0c
weather · 571 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,485 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,515 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$314
Realized−$1,515
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses193 / 347
Open positions31
Markets (closed)540 / 571
History coverage13d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day233.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 31 History 540 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$330
7 days−$504
14 days−$1,515
30 days−$1,515
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13? Yes 25¢ 92¢ $37 $137 +$100 (+266%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 13? No 37¢ 54¢ $41 $59 +$19 (+45%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 13? No 53¢ 100¢ $13 $25 +$12 (+89%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 13? No 31¢ 89¢ $8 $22 +$14 (+187%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13? No 23¢ 40¢ $8 $14 +$6 (+72%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 13? No 53¢ 46¢ $13 $12 −$2 (-13%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? Yes 70¢ 97¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+39%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? No 37¢ 100¢ $3 $8 +$5 (+170%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 13? Yes 51¢ 43¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-16%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 13? Yes 85¢ 46¢ $9 $5 −$4 (-46%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 13? No 55¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+82%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 13? Yes 17¢ 100¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+479%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? No 50¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$1 (+99%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13? Yes 40¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+150%)
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 13? No 55¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$1 (+82%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13? No 39¢ 19¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-51%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 13? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 13? Yes 16¢ 11¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-28%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 13? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 13? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 13? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 13 $21 −$17 -81%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 13? Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 13? Jun 13 $14 −$6 -42%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $14 +$3 +21%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $98 −$53 -54%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $6 +$39 +637%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 +$5 +174%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 13? Jun 13 $13 +$10 +77%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 12? Jun 13 $40 −$20 -51%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 13 $13 +$8 +65%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 12? Jun 13 $6 −$5 -85%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 12? Jun 13 $13 +$2 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 12? Jun 13 $19 −$19 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 13 $31 −$29 -94%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 13 $9 −$6 -65%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 13 $26 −$5 -19%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 13 $11 +$2 +17%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 12? Jun 13 $3 +$2 +85%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 −$3 -34%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 −$2 -63%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 +$7 +89%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $18 −$15 -85%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $13 −$11 -90%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $17 −$8 -50%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 +$5 +180%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 −$7 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $15 +$4 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 −$2 -31%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 12? Jun 12 $30 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $12 −$5 -38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% −$1,511
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 13? SELL Yes 4¢ $4 1m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 13? SELL Yes 4¢ $3 2m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL No 6¢ $4 2m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 13? SELL Yes 6¢ $2 2m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY Yes 85¢ $9 4m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June BUY Yes 51¢ $9 26m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY No 23¢ $8 48m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 13? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 49m
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL No 8¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 13? BUY No 31¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 13? BUY No 31¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 13? BUY No 31¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? SELL No 28¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY Yes 35¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? BUY Yes 70¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 39¢ $2 2h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 13? BUY No 55¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 13? BUY No 55¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 13? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 2h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13? BUY No 40¢ $8 2h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY Yes 46¢ $8 3h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 13? BUY No 52¢ $8 3h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 13? BUY No 55¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13? SELL Yes 85¢ $8 3h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13? SELL No 3¢ $0 3h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $16 4h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 37¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13? BUY Yes 31¢ $3 4h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13? BUY No 28¢ $7 4h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13? BUY No 27¢ $7 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 321 -5.2% -14.2% 37% 32% -21.5%
≤30d 540 -5.5% -14.5% 36% 30% -21.7%
≤90d 540 -5.5% -14.5% 36% 30% -21.7%
all 540 -5.5% -14.5% 36% 30% -21.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover233.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 30% -21.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 27% -29.2%
15% -30.2% 24% -36.0%
20% -37.0% 22% -42.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $313.78 · official $313.78 (match) · 3500 history records