Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T03:45:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
6E 0x6e40…6a08 crypto 1438 markets active 1h ago coverage 92d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 91d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$789 (-0%) realized −$789 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate90%1290W / 148L
Whale WR97%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$119per market
Trades / day18.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$45
7 days+$114
14 days−$246
30 days−$383
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$235
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +1.1% -8.6% 100% 0% -8.6%
≤30d 187 -0.1% -9.6% 95% 0% -10.0%
≤90d 1364 -1.1% -10.5% 90% 18% -9.6%
all 1438 -1.0% -10.5% 90% 20% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover18.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 20% -9.6%
10% -19.0% 11% -18.3%
15% -26.8% 5% -26.2%
20% -34.0% 3% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
78% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 97% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -2% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$13 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

92d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$789
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1290 / 148
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1438 / 1438
History coverage92d ⚠
Avg bet$119
Trades / day18.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1438 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $427 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $420 +$12 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $69 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $419 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET Jun 17 $208 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4AM ET Jun 16 $412 +$4 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET Jun 16 $409 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET Jun 16 $408 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET Jun 16 $406 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $402 +$6 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $67 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $400 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6AM ET Jun 15 $200 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $400 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $398 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5PM ET Jun 14 $397 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $197 +$8 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $390 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $389 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $386 +$4 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $77 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $77 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $77 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $385 +$2 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $383 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $382 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $382 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $378 +$7 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $187 +$5 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET Jun 11 $375 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9PM ET Jun 11 $374 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $374 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1PM ET Jun 10 $148 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1PM ET Jun 10 $371 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $371 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 10 $366 +$9 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET Jun 10 $180 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $143 +$7 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 09 $178 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 09 $176 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET Jun 09 $141 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET Jun 09 $352 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 09 $352 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET Jun 09 $176 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 08 $350 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 08 $348 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 08 $344 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 08 $341 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $168 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $427 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $420 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $69 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $419 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $208 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $412 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $409 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $408 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $406 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $402 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $67 32h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $400 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $200 41h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $400 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $398 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $397 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $197 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $390 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $389 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $77 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $77 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $77 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $386 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $385 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $383 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $382 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $382 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $378 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $187 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records