Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T22:40:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.0
score
6E 0x6e30…2ef5 crypto 194 markets active 2h ago coverage 60d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$10,772 (+4%) realized +$10,772 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -5% what you keep after slip
Net edge-5%after slip
Net WR9%break-even
Win rate100%194W / 0L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$1,275per market
Trades / day7.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$143
7 days+$292
14 days+$1,106
30 days+$2,858
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$10,338
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)+3.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +3.5% -6.4% 100% 11% -8.0%
≤30d 79 +4.5% -5.4% 100% 10% -7.1%
≤90d 194 +14.3% +3.4% 100% 9% -6.3%
all 194 +14.3% +3.4% 100% 9% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.4% 9% -6.3%
10% -6.5% 4% -15.3%
15% -15.5% 3% -23.5%
20% -23.8% 2% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 41% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +14% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$1,310) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +24% → late +5% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$53 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

60d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$10,772
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses194 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)194 / 194
History coverage60d
Avg bet$1,275
Trades / day7.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 194 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 22 $89 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 22 $382 +$5 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 21 $715 +$84 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 21 $3,678 +$42 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 21 $1,275 +$12 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 20 $77 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 20 $176 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $266 +$18 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 19 $1,228 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 18 $168 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 18 $719 +$17 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 18 $738 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $3,647 +$37 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 18 $38 +$11 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $2,845 +$27 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $377 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $121 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $38 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $504 +$9 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $23 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $3,616 +$37 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $3,607 +$34 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1,130 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $3,590 +$36 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1,044 +$10 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $485 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3,173 +$336 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $497 +$5 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $748 +$9 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $203 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $3,297 +$155 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $2,230 +$21 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $3,328 +$88 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $401 +$5 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $688 +$31 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 09 $226 +$27 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 08 $257 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 08 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 07 $994 +$84 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 03 $166 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 03 $326 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 03 $147 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 02 $579 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 01 $92 +$4 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 01 $227 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 01 $12,820 +$130 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 01 $563 +$5 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 31 $953 +$16 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $89 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $382 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $715 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3,293 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $385 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,275 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $77 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $176 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $266 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,228 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $168 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $719 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $738 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3,647 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $38 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2,845 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $377 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $121 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $38 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $504 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $23 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3,616 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3,607 8d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,130 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3,590 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,044 9d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $485 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1,858 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1,316 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 669 history records