trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 40% | 0% | -6.5% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 40% | 0% | -6.5% |
| all | 20 | -4.7% | -13.7% | 65% | 0% | -8.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.7% | 0% | -8.4% |
| 10% | -22.0% | 0% | -17.2% |
| 15% | -29.5% | 0% | -25.2% |
| 20% | -36.4% | 0% | -32.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $46 | $46 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 26 | $60 | +$6 | +10% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 26 | $12 | $0 | +3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 25 | $36 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 24 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 23 | $4 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 12 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jun 27 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 02 | $4 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025? | May 22 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Dec | May 19 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | May 17 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will George Russell win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix? | May 16 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025? | May 15 | $8 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian electio | Apr 19 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | Apr 02 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum hit $2,600.00 again by March 31? | Mar 27 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on March 24? | Mar 25 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 17 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 17 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21? | Mar 15 | $12 | $0 | +0% |