Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T03:14:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6E 0x6e2a…4007 crypto 760 markets active 2h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (352 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$115 (-2%) realized −$115 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -32% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -48% what you keep after slip
Net edge-48%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate48%363W / 397L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day351.5pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$131
sports 1% +$7
other 1% −$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (352 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-38.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 760 -31.8% -38.3% 48% 6% -11.9%
≤30d 760 -31.8% -38.3% 48% 6% -11.9%
≤90d 760 -31.8% -38.3% 48% 6% -11.9%
all 760 -31.8% -38.3% 48% 6% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover351.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.3% 6% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -44.2% 4% -20.3%
15% -49.6% 4% -28.0%
20% -54.5% 4% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
88% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -32% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -52% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.66 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.61 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$115
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses363 / 397
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)760 / 760
History coverage5d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day351.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 760 Trades
no open positions (264 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 25 $32 −$32 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 25 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 25 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 25 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 25 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 25 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 25 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 24 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 24 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 24 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 24 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 24 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 24 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2378 history records