Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:33:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e1d…fc19
sports · 290 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$632 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$761 · open −$129
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$391
Realized+$761
Unrealized−$129
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses163 / 123
Est. fees paid−$132
Open positions4
Markets (closed)286 / 290
History coverage134d
Avg bet$86
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 286 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$315
7 days+$493
14 days+$825
30 days+$929
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 76¢ 78¢ $200 $206 +$6 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 41¢ 74¢ $80 $145 +$65 (+82%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 38¢ 38¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-1%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 39¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Anyones Legend 31¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 47¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs Spirit 77¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winner Weibo Gaming 39¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Monte 16¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? No 11¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Invictus Gaming 11¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Spurs Spurs 73¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 G2 72¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 M80 51¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 NRG 60¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 NIP 56¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 paiN 18¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Vitality 68¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Deep Cross Gaming 35¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Heroic 52¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs Team Falcons 71¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs DRX 41¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs GAM Esports 26¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 51¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 29¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $102 +$201 +197%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $82 +$81 +98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $152 −$150 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $106 +$55 +52%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $51 +$60 +119%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $96 +$97 +101%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $96 −$4 -4%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $112 −$110 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $112 −$110 -98%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage Jun 11 $112 −$5 -5%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $203 +$161 +79%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $152 −$150 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $203 −$200 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 09 $50 +$22 +44%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $71 +$54 +76%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $148 +$43 +29%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $36 −$35 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $83 +$9 +11%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $122 +$114 +93%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $162 +$77 +48%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $152 −$150 -99%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $41 −$40 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $31 +$39 +129%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $101 +$57 +56%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $81 +$109 +134%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 07 $122 +$101 +83%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 07 $152 +$102 +67%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $86 +$43 +50%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $254 +$47 +19%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $31 −$30 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $176 +$54 +31%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $35 −$2 -5%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $101 +$42 +42%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $25 −$25 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $21 −$20 -97%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $101 +$65 +65%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $52 −$51 -98%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 03 $21 −$20 -97%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 03 $165 +$63 +38%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $72 +$179 +250%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 31 $81 −$20 -25%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 31 $142 +$84 +59%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 30 $131 +$37 +28%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs May 30 $31 −$30 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $136 −$55 -40%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $112 +$68 +61%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $202 +$105 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$686
crypto 1% +$59
world 1% −$87
other 0% −$30
politics 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 77¢ $40 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 45¢ $81 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 35¢ $122 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 41¢ $81 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $41 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 76¢ $161 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 45¢ $162 27h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 22¢ $82 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $51 28h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 32¢ $31 28h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $51 28h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $152 28h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 65¢ $106 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 62¢ $92 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 45¢ $51 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $96 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 49¢ $96 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 36¢ $112 2d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 45¢ $112 2d
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage SELL Legacy 50¢ $106 2d
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage BUY Legacy 51¢ $112 2d
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo BUY Dragon Ranger Gaming 29¢ $20 4d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY FULL SENSE 45¢ $152 4d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 55¢ $203 4d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY paiN 47¢ $203 4d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 28¢ $36 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 69¢ $50 5d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 56¢ $71 5d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Legacy 77¢ $148 5d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 51¢ $122 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +12.3% +1.6% 61% 61% +3.2%
≤30d 60 +0.3% -9.3% 57% 57% +4.9%
≤90d 110 -1.1% -10.5% 54% 54% -2.7%
all 286 -3.5% -12.7% 57% 55% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.7% 55% -5.9%
10% -21.1% 46% -14.9%
15% -28.7% 37% -23.1%
20% -35.7% 26% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $391.14 · official $391.14 (match) · 704 history records