Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:07:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e05…d898
crypto · 352 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,108 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,108 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,108
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses152 / 262
Open positions0
Markets (closed)414 / 352
History coverage7d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day467.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 414 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$844
7 days−$1,108
14 days−$1,108
30 days−$1,108
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4? No 94¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$300
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $21 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $8 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $24 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $27 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $26 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $22 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $22 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $24 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $19 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-26.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 414 -18.7% -26.4% 37% 25% -20.9%
≤30d 414 -18.7% -26.4% 37% 25% -20.9%
≤90d 414 -18.7% -26.4% 37% 25% -20.9%
all 414 -18.7% -26.4% 37% 25% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover467.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.4% 25% -20.9%
10% ← realistic here -33.5% 14% -28.5%
15% -39.9% 7% -35.4%
20% -45.8% 6% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records