Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:24:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6dfb…f1b7
sports · 306 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$419 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$536 · open −$117
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$835
Realized+$536
Unrealized−$117
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses138 / 385
Est. fees paid−$31
Open positions69
Markets (closed)523 / 306
History coverage2d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day1557.4
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 69 History 523 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$536
7 days+$536
14 days+$536
30 days+$536
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 52¢ 100¢ $52 $100 +$48 (+93%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 81¢ 90¢ $88 $98 +$10 (+11%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 82¢ 92¢ $76 $85 +$9 (+11%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Seattle Mariners 85¢ 90¢ $68 $71 +$3 (+5%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 43¢ 58¢ $53 $71 +$18 (+34%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 57¢ 42¢ $89 $66 −$24 (-27%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 82¢ 90¢ $48 $52 +$4 (+9%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 60¢ 68¢ $41 $46 +$5 (+12%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 58¢ 64¢ $34 $38 +$4 (+10%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 40¢ 36¢ $38 $34 −$5 (-12%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 Under 42¢ 74¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+74%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 49¢ 32¢ $14 $9 −$5 (-34%)
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) New York Mets 27¢ 92¢ $2 $7 +$5 (+235%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 35¢ 8¢ $29 $7 −$22 (-76%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 67¢ 66¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Under 34¢ 52¢ $4 $7 +$2 (+53%)
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Arizona Diamondbacks 83¢ 88¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+6%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 Under 38¢ 55¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+44%)
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) New York Yankees 64¢ 79¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 22¢ 10¢ $11 $5 −$6 (-52%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Under 77¢ 92¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+19%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 12¢ 10¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-21%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Under 63¢ 89¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+42%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 12¢ 10¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-11%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 Over 49¢ 26¢ $6 $3 −$3 (-46%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Athletics (-4.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Hawks vs. Knicks Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$631
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 69¢ $1 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 69¢ $1 0m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 94¢ $1 0m
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 83¢ $1 1m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 94¢ $1 1m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 94¢ $1 1m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 94¢ $1 1m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 74¢ $1 1m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 93¢ $1 1m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 93¢ $1 1m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 93¢ $1 1m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 77¢ $1 2m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 68¢ $1 2m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 68¢ $1 2m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 68¢ $1 2m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 68¢ $1 2m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 67¢ $1 2m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 67¢ $1 2m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 67¢ $1 2m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 67¢ $1 2m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 67¢ $1 3m
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) BUY Chicago Cubs 33¢ $1 3m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 45¢ $1 3m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 92¢ $1 3m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 67¢ $1 3m
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) BUY Cincinnati Reds 19¢ $0 4m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 92¢ $1 4m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 66¢ $1 4m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 66¢ $1 4m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 66¢ $1 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-25.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 523 -17.2% -25.1% 26% 21% +13.3%
≤30d 523 -17.2% -25.1% 26% 21% +13.3%
≤90d 523 -17.2% -25.1% 26% 21% +13.3%
all 523 -17.2% -25.1% 26% 21% +13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1557.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.1% 21% +13.3%
10% ← realistic here -32.3% 17% +2.4%
15% -38.8% 15% -7.5%
20% -44.8% 12% -16.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $834.63 · official $819.71 · 3500 history records