Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T21:05:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.0
score
6D 0x6dea…0380 crypto 159 markets active 2h ago coverage 60d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$8,105 (+4%) realized +$8,105 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -4% what you keep after slip
Net edge-4%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate100%159W / 0L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$1,384per market
Trades / day5.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$138
7 days+$674
14 days+$4,568
30 days+$5,691
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$7,850
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)+3.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +1.9% -7.8% 100% 0% -7.9%
≤30d 68 +31.4% +18.9% 100% 3% -7.1%
≤90d 159 +14.7% +3.8% 100% 4% -7.4%
all 159 +14.7% +3.8% 100% 4% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.8% 4% -7.4%
10% -6.1% 1% -16.3%
15% -15.2% 1% -24.4%
20% -23.5% 1% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 44% · top 2 49% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
96% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +15% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$1,799) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +2% → late +27% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$49 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

60d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$8,105
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses159 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)159 / 159
History coverage60d
Avg bet$1,384
Trades / day5.9
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 159 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 22 $503 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 21 $3,850 +$131 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 19 $290 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 19 $1,505 +$76 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $365 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 19 $4,774 +$45 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 19 $4,703 +$115 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 19 $4,731 +$66 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $307 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 18 $182 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $3,181 +$30 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $4,721 +$48 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $403 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 18 $1,085 +$26 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $4,696 +$47 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $544 +$12 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $749 +$11 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $953 +$40 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $4,659 +$47 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$8 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $297 +$3 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $324 +$19 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3,935 +$40 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $418 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $324 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $4,135 +$44 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $4,552 +$86 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $4,078 +$74 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $3,685 +$36 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $37 +$3,423 +9252%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $418 +$4 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $1,289 +$51 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $1,310 +$15 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 09 $627 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 09 $1,265 +$22 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $682 +$9 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 08 $597 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 08 $2,421 +$23 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 08 $1,221 +$52 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 07 $1,260 +$12 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 05 $2,382 +$194 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 02 $292 +$17 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 02 $965 +$19 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 02 $130 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 02 $6,514 +$423 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 02 $226 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 01 $2,296 +$22 +1%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET May 31 $124 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 31 $29 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $503 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2,615 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1,234 43h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $290 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1,505 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $365 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4,703 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4,774 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2,299 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2,431 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $307 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $182 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3,181 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4,721 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $403 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1,085 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4,346 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $350 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $544 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $749 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $953 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,272 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3,387 8d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $52 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $297 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $324 9d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 9d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,365 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 523 history records