Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:19:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6de8…f103
crypto · 138 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$76 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$32 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$144
Realized+$32
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses29 / 84
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions14
Markets (closed)113 / 138
History coverage32d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 14 History 113 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$62
7 days+$61
14 days+$61
30 days−$190
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $63 $62 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 40¢ 38¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 53¢ 55¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 Over 26¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Yes 54¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5 Over 21¢ 18¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Under 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5 Under 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $20 +$11 +55%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $10 +$11 +105%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $40 −$40 -99%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 +$87 +3136%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? Jun 13 $5 $0 -5%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $832 −$59 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 28 $3 −$3 -94%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Torino FC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? May 24 $5 $0 -0%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $5 −$5 -98%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? May 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a dr May 24 $5 +$13 +250%
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? May 23 $5 −$5 -98%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -94%
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17? May 19 $5 −$5 -92%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? May 19 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 19 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 18 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET May 18 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET May 18 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET May 18 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET May 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview? May 18 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET May 18 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 18 $5 +$7 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET May 17 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET May 17 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 17 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 17 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 17 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Brian Harman win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 17 $4 +$31 +746%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 52% −$17
crypto 30% +$129
other 17% −$77
world 0% −$5
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 8¢ $1 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5 BUY Over 21¢ $5 4h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 53¢ $5 4h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 26¢ $5 4h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will United States win on 2026-06- BUY 4¢ $5 4h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND BUY 1¢ $12 4h
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? AND Will IR Iran vs. New BUY 4¢ $2 4h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. E BUY 10¢ $1 4h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14 BUY 3¢ $21 19h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $21 19h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 21h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $20 21h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $10 21h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $30 21h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $90 21h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 3¢ $3 22h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 24¢ $2 25h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14 BUY 3¢ $2 33h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND BUY 2¢ $2 33h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? AND Will Scotland win on 202 BUY 3¢ $1 33h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? AND BUY 3¢ $5 43h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? SELL Yes 49¢ $5 43h
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 2d
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND BUY 3¢ $3 2d
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND BUY 5¢ $2 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 2d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $63 4d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 4d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 50¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-1.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +151.4% +127.5% 42% 42% +14.9%
≤30d 72 -4.5% -13.6% 22% 22% -24.4%
≤90d 113 +9.0% -1.4% 26% 26% -10.6%
all 113 +9.0% -1.4% 26% 26% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.4% 26% -10.6%
10% -10.8% 24% -19.1%
15% -19.4% 24% -26.9%
20% -27.3% 21% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $143.50 · official $186.19 · 252 history records