Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T02:45:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6D 0x6de2…e735 crypto 449 markets active 1h ago coverage 21d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (88 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$59 (-2%) realized −$59 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR15%break-even
Win rate28%126W / 323L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day88.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$46
7 days−$51
14 days−$122
30 days−$186
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$186
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (88 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 -9.0% -17.7% 15% 6% -12.4%
≤30d 449 -7.4% -16.2% 28% 15% -13.9%
≤90d 449 -7.4% -16.2% 28% 15% -13.9%
all 449 -7.4% -16.2% 28% 15% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover88.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 15% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 9% -22.1%
15% -31.6% 5% -29.7%
20% -38.3% 3% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
45% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.8 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.36 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$59
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses126 / 323
Open positions0
Markets (closed)449 / 449
History coverage21d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day88.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 449 Trades
no open positions (22 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $13 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 16 $102 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2044 history records