Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:58:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6ddc…9e1b
crypto · 155 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$20 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$36 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses80 / 75
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)155 / 155
History coverage6d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day48.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 155 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$36
14 days−$36
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner paiN 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$6 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$6 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$11
sports 10% −$25
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 155 -1.3% -10.7% 52% 48% -18.8%
≤30d 155 -1.3% -10.7% 52% 48% -18.8%
≤90d 155 -1.3% -10.7% 52% 48% -18.8%
all 155 -1.3% -10.7% 52% 48% -18.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 48% -18.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 39% -26.6%
15% -27.0% 34% -33.7%
20% -34.2% 27% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 429 history records