Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:41:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6D 0x6ddc…9e29 crypto 648 markets active 7d ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1344 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$6,095 (+21%) realized +$6,095 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate43%281W / 367L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day1344.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$724
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1344 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 -18.1% -25.9% 31% 25% -20.1%
≤30d 648 -0.7% -10.1% 43% 29% -11.7%
≤90d 648 -0.7% -10.1% 43% 29% -11.7%
all 648 -0.7% -10.1% 43% 29% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1344.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 29% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 23% -20.2%
15% -26.6% 15% -27.9%
20% -33.8% 8% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$10 · ×1.04 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$6,095
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses281 / 367
Open positions0
Markets (closed)648 / 648
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$46
Trades / day1344.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 648 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $23 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $61 −$36 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$75 +304%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $47 −$22 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$54 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $70 −$45 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $30 +$70 +229%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $42 −$17 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $29 +$21 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $86 −$36 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $99 +$126 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $52 +$23 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $55 −$30 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $52 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $46 +$54 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $24 +$26 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $61 +$89 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $74 −$49 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $71 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $102 −$27 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $84 +$16 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $94 +$81 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $82 +$18 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $14 +$11 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $44 −$19 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $13 +$12 +99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $13 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $12 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $13 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $12 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $12 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records