trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -33.4% | -39.8% | 17% | 0% | -59.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -13.6% | -21.8% | 40% | 30% | -50.4% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -23.0% | -30.3% | 37% | 32% | -49.7% |
| all | 23 | -29.3% | -36.0% | 30% | 26% | -51.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.0% | 26% | -51.3% |
| 10% | -42.1% | 22% | -55.9% |
| 15% | -47.7% | 17% | -60.2% |
| 20% | -52.9% | 9% | -64.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $1,562 | −$105 | -7% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $7,085 | −$4,699 | -66% |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | Jun 15 | $109 | +$1 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 15 | $900 | −$203 | -23% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 15 | $1,128 | −$463 | -41% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $3,518 | −$1,223 | -35% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $426 | −$79 | -19% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 08 | $822 | +$318 | +39% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $444 | +$190 | +43% |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? | Jun 01 | $200 | +$43 | +22% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | May 16 | $100 | +$54 | +54% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | May 16 | $200 | +$240 | +120% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Apr 29 | $200 | −$3 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Apr 29 | $100 | +$27 | +27% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Apr 12 | $227 | −$154 | -68% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 10? | Apr 07 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Mar 26 | $75 | −$75 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Mar 26 | $134 | −$134 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Mar 26 | $604 | −$604 | -100% |
| Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31? | Mar 17 | $100 | −$35 | -34% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Mar 17 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| US recession by end of 2026? | Mar 12 | $116 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Mar 09 | $908 | −$100 | -11% |