Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:10:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6D 0x6dcc…e73b crypto 473 markets active 0h ago coverage 13d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (67 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$368 (-9%) realized −$368 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate71%335W / 138L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day67.0pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$330
7 days−$330
14 days−$451
30 days−$451
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$311
sports 3% −$101
other 1% −$40
world 0% $0
finance 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (67 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 -4.2% -13.3% 79% 34% -23.3%
≤30d 473 -6.6% -15.5% 71% 39% -19.8%
≤90d 473 -6.6% -15.5% 71% 39% -19.8%
all 473 -6.6% -15.5% 71% 39% -19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover67.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 39% -19.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 24% -27.5%
15% -31.0% 14% -34.5%
20% -37.7% 8% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
43% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$7 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.54 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$368
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses335 / 138
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)473 / 473
History coverage13d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day67.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 473 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$2 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $35 −$35 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$8 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $35 −$35 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $35 −$35 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$17 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$7 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$3 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $22 −$20 -89%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$9 +146%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$11 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $37 −$34 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $37 −$34 -90%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$4 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $15 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $20 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $15 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $15 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $20 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $20 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $20 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $20 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1303 history records