Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:28:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6dc5…2cf2
other · 47 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$43 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses12 / 34
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)46 / 47
History coverage601d
Avg bet$351
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 1 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 13 $11 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? Jun 13 $18 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? Jun 13 $23 $0 +0%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 28 $15 $0 -0%
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 27 $10 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $20 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 25 $12 $0 -0%
Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? May 22 $14 $0 -0%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 21 $11 +$5 +46%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 20 $10 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 19 $77 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 18 $60 $0 -0%
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in May 18 $57 $0 -0%
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 11 $58 $0 -0%
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 08 $59 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $58 $0 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 06 $64 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5? May 06 $28 $0 +1%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Apr 27 $63 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Apr 21 $59 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 21 $64 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? Apr 20 $60 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 19 $62 $0 -0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $58 $0 -0%
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? Apr 18 $63 $0 -0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 Apr 18 $64 $0 -0%
Timberwolves vs. Magic Apr 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Sabres vs. Rangers Apr 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Bucks vs. Nets Apr 08 $6 +$7 +124%
Predators vs. Kings Apr 08 $6 +$5 +75%
Pistons vs. Magic Apr 07 $5 +$8 +146%
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelim Apr 06 $14 −$14 -100%
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? Apr 03 $25 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $160 in March? Apr 03 $50 $0 +0%
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 154.5 Mar 27 $24 −$24 -100%
Trump out as President by March 31? Mar 06 $94 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February? Mar 05 $5 $0 +1%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 02 $13,557 −$14 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 11 $3 $0 -1%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Oct 08 $26 +$1 +3%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 30 $32 −$1 -2%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 24 $26 $0 -1%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 10 $301 −$1 -0%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Oct 31 $469 −$2 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 28 $421 −$1 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 25 $327 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 83% −$14
politics 11% −$6
other 4% −$1
sports 1% −$24
crypto 1% +$1
tech 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $11 1h
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $11 5h
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? BUY No 100¢ $14 7h
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $15 16d
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $15 16d
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 99¢ $2 16d
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 99¢ $1 16d
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 99¢ $1 16d
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 99¢ $0 16d
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 99¢ $0 16d
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 99¢ $0 16d
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 99¢ $1 16d
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 99¢ $1 16d
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 99¢ $0 16d
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 99¢ $2 16d
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 99¢ $0 16d
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 99¢ $1 16d
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 99¢ $0 16d
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 99¢ $10 17d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 18d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 18d
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? BUY No 100¢ $18 18d
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $12 19d
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 19d
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $23 21d
Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? SELL No 100¢ $14 22d
Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? BUY No 100¢ $14 22d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 23d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 23d
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 24d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +0.1% -9.4% 67% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 13 +3.5% -6.4% 23% 8% -8.3%
≤90d 35 -0.3% -9.8% 26% 11% -11.2%
all 46 -0.3% -9.8% 26% 9% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 9% -9.8%
10% -18.4% 9% -18.4%
15% -26.3% 9% -26.3%
20% -33.5% 7% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.80 · official $13.80 (match) · 234 history records