trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -1.7% | -11.0% | 0% | 0% | -11.0% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -31.2% | -37.8% | 33% | 0% | -80.7% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 29% | 0% | -51.6% |
| all | 12 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 42% | 8% | -33.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.2% | 8% | -33.2% |
| 10% | -29.6% | 8% | -39.6% |
| 15% | -36.4% | 0% | -45.5% |
| 20% | -42.6% | 0% | -50.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | Jun 24 | $491 | −$8 | -2% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $3,100 | −$3,100 | -100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 04 | $325 | +$26 | +8% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | May 24 | $305 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $446 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 16 | $1,065 | −$7 | -1% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 31 | $988 | −$38 | -4% |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 16 | $1,114 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 14 | $1,316 | −$20 | -2% |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | Mar 08 | $1,482 | +$2 | +0% |
| Bourg-en-Bresse vs. Boulazac | Feb 08 | $3,040 | +$960 | +32% |
| UFC 324: Fugitt vs. Miller (Welterweight, Early Prelims) | Jan 22 | $3,800 | −$1,900 | -50% |