Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:52:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6db8…d06c
crypto · 506 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$127 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$187 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$187
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses311 / 195
Open positions0
Markets (closed)506 / 506
History coverage21d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day24.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 506 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$336
14 days−$213
30 days−$187
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$178
other 1% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 172 -19.3% -27.0% 59% 59% -58.3%
≤30d 506 -4.1% -13.2% 61% 61% -14.9%
≤90d 506 -4.1% -13.2% 61% 61% -14.9%
all 506 -4.1% -13.2% 61% 61% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 61% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 61% -23.1%
15% -29.1% 49% -30.5%
20% -36.0% 44% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 859 history records