trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -23.1% | -30.5% | 45% | 45% | -7.5% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -18.4% | -26.1% | 54% | 46% | -6.3% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -18.4% | -26.1% | 54% | 46% | -6.3% |
| all | 13 | -18.4% | -26.1% | 54% | 46% | -6.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.1% | 46% | -6.3% |
| 10% | -33.2% | 23% | -15.3% |
| 15% | -39.7% | 23% | -23.4% |
| 20% | -45.6% | 15% | -30.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $224 | $257 | +$33 (+15%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 12¢ | $166 | $235 | +$69 (+42%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $200 | $203 | +$3 (+2%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $188 | $133 | −$55 (-29%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $100 | $105 | +$5 (+5%) |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 96¢ | $72 | $87 | +$15 (+20%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $76 | $79 | +$3 (+4%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 23¢ | 6¢ | $115 | $28 | −$88 (-76%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $2,050 | +$307 | +15% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $765 | −$760 | -99% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $687 | +$293 | +43% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $834 | +$145 | +17% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $52 | −$51 | -98% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $203 | +$178 | +88% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $41 | −$40 | -97% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $22 | −$21 | -97% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $83 | −$81 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $104 | +$190 | +183% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $780 | +$92 | +12% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 31 | $96 | +$4 | +4% |