Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:20:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6da7…25aa
crypto · 1300 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$226 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$226 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$226
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses710 / 589
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1299 / 1300
History coverage36d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day51.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1299 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days+$22
14 days−$158
30 days−$203
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 99¢ 98¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$226
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 284 +1.1% -8.5% 97% 7% -8.4%
≤30d 540 -22.6% -30.0% 65% 15% -15.7%
≤90d 1299 -10.9% -19.4% 55% 31% -12.6%
all 1299 -10.9% -19.4% 55% 31% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.4% 31% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 26% -21.0%
15% -34.1% 21% -28.6%
20% -40.6% 18% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.92 · official $4.92 (match) · 2672 history records