Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6da3…1ccd
crypto · 317 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$389 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$389 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$389
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses73 / 244
Open positions0
Markets (closed)317 / 317
History coverage137d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day7.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 317 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$247
14 days−$240
30 days−$232
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 65% −$37
crypto 25% −$368
sports 10% +$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-27.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 -78.4% -80.5% 9% 9% -79.0%
≤30d 107 -69.7% -72.6% 13% 13% -67.5%
≤90d 239 -29.9% -36.6% 15% 15% -49.8%
all 317 -20.1% -27.7% 23% 21% -23.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.7% 21% -23.4%
10% -34.6% 20% -30.7%
15% -40.9% 17% -37.4%
20% -46.7% 15% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1335 history records