trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +18.5% | +7.2% | 13% | 13% | +10.4% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +18.5% | +7.2% | 13% | 13% | +10.4% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +18.5% | +7.2% | 13% | 13% | +10.4% |
| all | 23 | +18.5% | +7.2% | 13% | 13% | +10.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +7.2% | 13% | +10.4% |
| 10% | -3.0% | 13% | -0.2% |
| 15% | -12.4% | 13% | -9.9% |
| 20% | -21.0% | 9% | -18.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 Ghana? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $142 | $138 | −$5 (-3%) |
| Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 1 Ghana? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $150 | $131 | −$19 (-12%) |
| Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-46%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C or higher on June 26? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-99%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C or below on June 26? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-98%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be 100°F or higher on June 26? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $16 | $0 | −$16 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $152 | −$7 | -5% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB R | Jun 27 | $3 | −$2 | -66% |
| GTA VI released before November 2026? | Jun 27 | $1 | $0 | -17% |
| Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Jun 27 | $1 | −$1 | -83% |
| Will Valantis launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Jun 27 | $5 | −$4 | -79% |
| Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian | Jun 27 | $3 | $0 | -15% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Kansas in 2026? | Jun 27 | $3 | −$1 | -22% |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | Jun 27 | $1 | $0 | -16% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $5.00 end of June? | Jun 26 | $3 | −$2 | -64% |
| Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.60 on June 26? | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) | Jun 26 | $2 | +$1 | +48% |
| Will Steve Ballmer be 3rd richest person on December 31? | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -77% |
| Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Jun 26 | $3 | −$2 | -91% |
| Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA Wor | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 26 | $2 | −$1 | -53% |
| Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? | Jun 26 | $4 | −$2 | -45% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 26 | $8 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.9% or more in June? | Jun 26 | $18 | −$17 | -94% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be 100°F or higher on June 26? | Jun 26 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C or higher on June 25? | Jun 25 | $9 | −$9 | -95% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 24 | $717 | −$111 | -15% |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $135 | +$752 | +557% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 20 | $291 | −$283 | -97% |