Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6d98…b3a3
crypto · 1487 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,823 -48%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,823 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,823
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses1018 / 540
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1558 / 1487
History coverage39d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day63.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1558 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,150
7 days−$6,163
14 days−$6,193
30 days−$6,157
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$638
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 343 -35.8% -41.9% 52% 38% -86.1%
≤30d 1420 -9.6% -18.2% 67% 53% -49.9%
≤90d 1558 -9.7% -18.3% 65% 52% -40.2%
all 1558 -9.7% -18.3% 65% 52% -40.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 52% -40.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 37% -45.9%
15% -33.2% 25% -51.1%
20% -39.8% 16% -55.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.25 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records