trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +3.6% | -6.3% | 75% | 50% | +6.2% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -8.2% | -16.9% | 64% | 55% | +8.1% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -12.7% | -21.0% | 60% | 55% | -14.0% |
| all | 20 | -12.7% | -21.0% | 60% | 55% | -14.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.0% | 55% | -14.0% |
| 10% | -28.6% | 45% | -22.2% |
| 15% | -35.5% | 40% | -29.8% |
| 20% | -41.8% | 25% | -36.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 19¢ | $150 | $157 | +$7 (+5%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 52¢ | 52¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 64¢ | 63¢ | $12 | $11 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $10 | +$6 | +57% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $55 | +$5 | +10% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $20 | +$10 | +48% |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET | Jun 17 | $5 | +$1 | +15% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $26 | −$26 | -99% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$46 | +46% |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $20 | +$19 | +93% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 16 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $55 | +$23 | +42% |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22? | May 22 | $60 | +$34 | +57% |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score | May 13 | $24 | −$24 | -99% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $160 | +$32 | +20% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $35 | +$20 | +57% |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris FC end in a draw? | May 10 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-10? | May 09 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score | May 06 | $115 | +$33 | +29% |
| Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer | May 06 | $7 | +$5 | +73% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $192 | −$190 | -99% |