Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:29:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6d88…3faf
crypto · 176 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$303 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$300 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$65
Realized+$300
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses121 / 53
Open positions2
Markets (closed)174 / 176
History coverage2d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day299.6
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 174 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$300
7 days+$300
14 days+$300
30 days+$300
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 88¢ 94¢ $42 $44 +$2 (+6%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $89 +$11 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $59 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $23 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$6 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$9 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$6 +197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$5 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$10 +319%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$6 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$309
other 1% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $35 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $7 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $7 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $35 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $35 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $35 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $7 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 174 +20.7% +9.2% 70% 55% -7.4%
≤30d 174 +20.7% +9.2% 70% 55% -7.4%
≤90d 174 +20.7% +9.2% 70% 55% -7.4%
all 174 +20.7% +9.2% 70% 55% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover299.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +9.2% 55% -7.4%
10% ← realistic here -1.3% 43% -16.3%
15% -10.8% 29% -24.4%
20% -19.6% 20% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.64 · official $56.08 · 708 history records