Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:43:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6D 0x6d79…7a1b crypto 860 markets active 1h ago coverage 57d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 57d only
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$119 (-2%) realized −$119 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate71%612W / 248L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day58.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$17
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$144
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -3.5% -12.7% 79% 26% -10.8%
≤30d 211 -5.7% -14.6% 68% 16% -13.0%
≤90d 860 -3.4% -12.6% 71% 25% -12.2%
all 860 -3.4% -12.6% 71% 25% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 25% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 10% -20.6%
15% -28.6% 5% -28.3%
20% -35.6% 2% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
62% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.27 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

57d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$119
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses612 / 248
Open positions0
Markets (closed)860 / 860
History coverage57d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day58.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 860 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $14 −$5 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$4 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 08 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 08 $21 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 08 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 08 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 08 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 08 $13 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records