Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:38:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6d75…3c99
crypto · 157 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$41 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$39 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$114
Realized−$39
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses101 / 61
Open positions1
Markets (closed)162 / 157
History coverage16d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day208.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 162 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$20
14 days−$104
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $55 $84 +$29 (+53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Up 70¢ 64¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5PM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8AM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12PM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $57 −$55 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $56 +$29 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$17 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$4 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8PM ET Jun 08 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1AM ET Jun 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET Jun 06 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1AM ET Jun 06 $10 −$8 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12AM ET Jun 06 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9PM ET Jun 06 $44 +$9 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET Jun 06 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ET Jun 05 $46 +$24 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2PM ET Jun 05 $40 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1PM ET Jun 05 $29 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ET Jun 05 $42 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11AM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10AM ET Jun 05 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9AM ET Jun 05 $12 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8AM ET Jun 05 $22 +$19 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7AM ET Jun 05 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6AM ET Jun 05 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5AM ET Jun 05 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4AM ET Jun 05 $38 +$8 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3AM ET Jun 05 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12AM ET Jun 05 $29 +$15 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11PM ET Jun 05 $36 −$36 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -17.7% -25.6% 56% 52% -16.3%
≤30d 162 -8.0% -16.7% 62% 54% -10.6%
≤90d 162 -8.0% -16.7% 62% 54% -10.6%
all 162 -8.0% -16.7% 62% 54% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover208.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 54% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 38% -19.1%
15% -32.0% 26% -26.9%
20% -38.6% 19% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $113.99 · official $113.99 (match) · 3500 history records