Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:51:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6d6c…0dfb
crypto · 1428 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$43 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses708 / 719
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1427 / 1428
History coverage13d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day109.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1427 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$25
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 50¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 611 -3.7% -12.8% 48% 48% -12.8%
≤30d 1427 -0.6% -10.0% 50% 50% -10.1%
≤90d 1427 -0.6% -10.0% 50% 50% -10.1%
all 1427 -0.6% -10.0% 50% 50% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover109.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 50% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 50% -18.7%
15% -26.5% 49% -26.6%
20% -33.7% 47% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.14 · official $0.88 (match) · 2951 history records