trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +5.4% | -4.6% | 33% | 33% | +31.9% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -16.6% | -24.5% | 26% | 26% | -15.5% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -16.6% | -24.5% | 26% | 26% | -15.5% |
| all | 23 | -16.6% | -24.5% | 26% | 26% | -15.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.5% | 26% | -15.5% |
| 10% | -31.8% | 26% | -23.6% |
| 15% | -38.4% | 26% | -31.0% |
| 20% | -44.4% | 22% | -37.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 21¢ | $10 | $23 | +$13 (+134%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-42%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | Jun 28 | $15 | +$53 | +347% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Spread: England (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs. Maccabi Tel-Aviv | Jun 23 | $7 | +$11 | +149% |
| Spread: Portugal (-4.5) | Jun 23 | $5 | +$4 | +79% |
| Spread: France (-3.5) | Jun 22 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $15 | +$31 | +204% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | Jun 22 | $5 | −$1 | -14% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | Jun 22 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Tel-Aviv | Jun 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $4 | +$12 | +288% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 17 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $15 | +$8 | +50% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$3 | -50% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$4 | -35% |