Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:05:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6D 0x6d52…a20c crypto 56 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$11 (+1%) realized +$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate95%53W / 3L
Drawdown2%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day8.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$12
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -0.4% -9.9% 95% 0% -8.7%
≤30d 56 -0.4% -9.9% 95% 0% -8.7%
≤90d 56 -0.4% -9.9% 95% 0% -8.7%
all 56 -0.4% -9.9% 95% 0% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 0% -8.7%
10% -18.5% 0% -17.4%
15% -26.4% 0% -25.4%
20% -33.6% 0% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×2.42 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×42.79 per $1 lost it wins $42.79
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses53 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)56 / 56
History coverage7d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 56 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 20 $28 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 20 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 20 $27 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 20 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 20 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 20 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 20 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 20 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 20 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 20 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 20 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 19 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 19 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 19 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 19 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 19 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 19 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 19 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 19 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 19 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 19 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 19 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 19 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 19 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 19 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 19 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 19 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 19 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 19 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 19 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 19 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 19 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 19 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $14 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $23 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $23 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $23 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $22 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $22 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $22 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 112 history records