Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6d4d…f107
crypto · 1503 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$137 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$137 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$137
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1385 / 164
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1549 / 1503
History coverage21d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day100.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1549 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$106
7 days−$103
14 days−$108
30 days−$137
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 402 -10.6% -19.1% 88% 1% -23.4%
≤30d 1549 -2.8% -12.1% 89% 20% -11.5%
≤90d 1549 -2.8% -12.1% 89% 20% -11.5%
all 1549 -2.8% -12.1% 89% 20% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover100.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 20% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 8% -20.0%
15% -28.2% 4% -27.7%
20% -35.2% 2% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.17 · official $4.17 (match) · 3500 history records