Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:50:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6d48…6237
crypto · 1767 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,249 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,235 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$64
Realized−$1,235
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses1177 / 587
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1764 / 1767
History coverage30d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day64.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1764 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$108
7 days−$74
14 days−$151
30 days−$1,235
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 58¢ 50¢ $26 $22 −$4 (-14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 60¢ 50¢ $27 $22 −$5 (-18%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 63¢ 50¢ $25 $20 −$5 (-20%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$5 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$19 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$21 +80%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$11 +39%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$10 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$10 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$10 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$5 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$11 +43%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$10 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$11 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$15 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$11 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$16 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$15 -58%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$14 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$18 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$22 -84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$17 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,249
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $27 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $27 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $26 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $27 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $26 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $16 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $26 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $26 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $26 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $26 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $26 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $26 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $26 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $28 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $12 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $25 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $26 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $27 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $26 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $26 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $26 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 371 +3.2% -6.6% 80% 43% -9.0%
≤30d 1764 -2.4% -11.7% 67% 44% -12.4%
≤90d 1764 -2.4% -11.7% 67% 44% -12.4%
all 1764 -2.4% -11.7% 67% 44% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 44% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 37% -20.8%
15% -27.8% 32% -28.4%
20% -34.9% 25% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.30 · official $64.30 (match) · 3500 history records