trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 24 | -3.1% | -12.4% | 33% | 33% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -7.0% | -15.9% | 32% | 32% | -16.7% |
| ≤90d | 31 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 29% | 29% | -24.6% |
| all | 31 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 29% | 29% | -24.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.9% | 29% | -24.6% |
| 10% | -29.4% | 29% | -31.8% |
| 15% | -36.2% | 29% | -38.4% |
| 20% | -42.5% | 26% | -44.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Austria | 45¢ | 40¢ | $50 | $45 | −$5 (-10%) |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $34 | $32 | −$2 (-6%) |
| Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 2.5 | Over | 34¢ | 25¢ | $20 | $15 | −$5 (-26%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $21 | −$19 | -88% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $107 | −$5 | -5% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $51 | +$69 | +134% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $28 | −$27 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $32 | −$31 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $52 | +$41 | +78% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $43 | −$40 | -94% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $28 | −$15 | -56% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $50 | +$57 | +112% |
| Spread: Egypt (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $37 | −$35 | -94% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5 | Jun 15 | $29 | −$3 | -9% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $48 | −$48 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $21 | +$54 | +250% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $53 | +$56 | +106% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $49 | −$48 | -98% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $34 | −$33 | -98% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $21 | +$31 | +152% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $52 | −$51 | -99% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $52 | −$51 | -99% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $26 | +$88 | +344% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $49 | +$75 | +152% |
| Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting? | May 23 | $92 | −$89 | -97% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | May 11 | $137 | −$46 | -34% |
| Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 11 | $55 | −$55 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 11 | $14 | −$3 | -20% |
| Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting? | Apr 30 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 21 | $250 | −$102 | -41% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in Ap | Apr 17 | $70 | +$32 | +46% |