Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6d3c…d294
sports · 209 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$38,409 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16,897 · open −$23,038
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$355,641
Realized−$16,897
Unrealized−$23,038
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses49 / 63
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Est. fees paid−$1,690
Open positions396
Markets (closed)112 / 209
Avg bet$954
Trades / day3461.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 396 History 112 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16,897
7 days−$16,897
14 days−$16,897
30 days−$16,897
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? No 90¢ 90¢ $13,546 $13,491 −$55 (-0%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? No 89¢ 90¢ $13,153 $13,160 +$7 (+0%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? No 92¢ 92¢ $10,495 $10,571 +$76 (+1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $10,361 $10,437 +$77 (+1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 79¢ 80¢ $9,685 $9,735 +$51 (+1%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? No 93¢ 94¢ $9,258 $9,272 +$14 (+0%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? No 91¢ 92¢ $8,289 $8,358 +$69 (+1%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? No 76¢ 76¢ $8,001 $8,067 +$66 (+1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 52¢ 52¢ $7,782 $7,875 +$93 (+1%)
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? No 92¢ 92¢ $7,770 $7,815 +$45 (+1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? No 91¢ 92¢ $7,695 $7,738 +$42 (+1%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? No 76¢ 78¢ $7,541 $7,655 +$114 (+2%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26? No 72¢ 74¢ $7,183 $7,323 +$141 (+2%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? No 90¢ 90¢ $7,198 $7,194 −$4 (-0%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 73¢ 74¢ $5,500 $5,587 +$88 (+2%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? No 79¢ 80¢ $5,371 $5,472 +$102 (+2%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26? No 91¢ 92¢ $5,397 $5,427 +$30 (+1%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? No 88¢ 88¢ $5,108 $5,162 +$54 (+1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? No 60¢ 60¢ $4,992 $5,035 +$43 (+1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? No 33¢ 32¢ $4,961 $4,891 −$69 (-1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? No 30¢ 30¢ $4,488 $4,441 −$47 (-1%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $4,445 $4,408 −$37 (-1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $4,212 $4,225 +$13 (+0%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 40¢ $4,294 $4,164 −$130 (-3%)
Will France win on 2026-06-26? No 46¢ 48¢ $3,932 $4,021 +$89 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +52%
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-05-27? Jun 12 $1 $0 +67%
Will FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 +54%
Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 −$117 -29715%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Jun 12 $0 +$90 +24268%
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +59%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 12 $0 +$45 +23362%
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 +$17 +9032%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 12 $0 −$10 -7286%
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +454%
Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 −$5 -8254%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 12 $0 +$90 +110415%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $0 +$20 +21464%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 12 $0 −$90 -102513%
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 +$60 +62245%
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 +$8 +12946%
Will Petrojet SC win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $0 $0 +186%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 +$45 +66791%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 12 $0 +$76 +89301%
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $0 −$204 -319887%
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $0 −$78 -112505%
1st 5 Innings Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 12 $2,665 −$2,665 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Jun 12 $290 −$273 -94%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-8.5) Jun 12 $162 −$162 -100%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-07? Jun 12 $2,191 −$2,187 -100%
Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5) Jun 12 $1,518 −$1,518 -100%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 12 $900 −$786 -87%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 12 $104 −$104 -100%
Will Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 12 $441 −$421 -95%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1,804 −$1,803 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 12 $806 −$801 -99%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 12 $649 −$649 -100%
Will Avaí FC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 12 $222 −$222 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $940 −$940 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $366 −$366 -100%
Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5) Jun 12 $407 −$431 -106%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $142 −$142 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 12 $1,362 −$1,348 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5 Jun 12 $319 −$319 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5 Jun 12 $1,486 −$1,486 -100%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 12 $260 −$259 -100%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $254 −$254 -100%
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 58% +$6,474
sports 38% −$15,448
world 4% +$141
crypto 0% +$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 28¢ $5 4m
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 88¢ $9 4m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 91¢ $19 5m
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $4 10m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 54¢ $6 11m
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 45¢ $67 12m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 91¢ $5 16m
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? BUY No 82¢ $12 16m
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? BUY No 58¢ $15 17m
Spread: Germany (-1.5) BUY Ecuador 67¢ $17 17m
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? SELL Yes 27¢ $0 17m
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $4 17m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? SELL Yes 26¢ $25 17m
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 48¢ $240 18m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 79¢ $3,152 19m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 79¢ $4 19m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 79¢ $55 19m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 79¢ $14 19m
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? SELL No 61¢ $11 20m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 79¢ $23 20m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 79¢ $43 20m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 79¢ $113 20m
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? BUY No 66¢ $283 20m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 79¢ $165 21m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 79¢ $36 22m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 79¢ $22 22m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 79¢ $4 22m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 79¢ $37 22m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 79¢ $282 23m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 79¢ $57 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+229.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 +263.9% +229.2% 44% 38% -40.6%
≤30d 112 +263.9% +229.2% 44% 38% -40.6%
≤90d 112 +263.9% +229.2% 44% 38% -40.6%
all 112 +263.9% +229.2% 44% 38% -40.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3461.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +229.2% 38% -40.6%
10% ← realistic here +197.7% 36% -46.3%
15% +169.0% 34% -51.5%
20% +142.6% 33% -56.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $355,640.62 · official $355,631.66 (match) · 3500 history records