Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:13:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6d2e…9f22
other · 4 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$7 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$14
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses2 / 0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$326
Trades / day457.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 2 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$14
14 days+$14
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+399%)
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+49%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Maxx Crosby play for Green Bay Packers next? Jun 13 $6 +$3 +42%
Will Sam Ryder win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 12 $3 +$11 +371%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Maxx Crosby play for Green Bay Packers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $9 38m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Green Bay Packers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 39m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 40m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 40m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 40m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 40m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 40m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 40m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 41m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 41m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 43m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 43m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 43m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 43m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 43m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 44m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 44m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 44m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 44m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 44m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 47m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 47m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 47m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 47m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 48m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 48m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 48m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 48m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 48m
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 48m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+177.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +206.5% +177.3% 100% 100% +125.5%
≤30d 2 +206.5% +177.3% 100% 100% +125.5%
≤90d 2 +206.5% +177.3% 100% 100% +125.5%
all 2 +206.5% +177.3% 100% 100% +125.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover457.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +177.3% 100% +125.5%
10% ← realistic here +150.8% 100% +103.9%
15% +126.5% 100% +84.2%
20% +104.3% 50% +66.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.03 · official $1.03 (match) · 457 history records