Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:02:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6d27…e750
crypto · 1494 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$28 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses1157 / 337
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1494 / 1494
History coverage60d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day35.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1494 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$44
7 days+$52
14 days+$31
30 days+$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 0¢ 52¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$4 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$25
other 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1296 +3.1% -6.7% 77% 35% -8.8%
≤30d 1486 +2.7% -7.0% 78% 33% -9.2%
≤90d 1494 +2.7% -7.1% 77% 33% -9.2%
all 1494 +2.7% -7.1% 77% 33% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 33% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.0% 18% -17.9%
15% -24.1% 6% -25.8%
20% -31.5% 2% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.62 · official $3.17 (match) · 3409 history records