trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +1.5% | -8.2% | 43% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 50% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 50% | 0% | -10.3% |
| all | 29 | -5.8% | -14.8% | 45% | 3% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.8% | 3% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -23.0% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -30.4% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -37.2% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Yes | 35¢ | 34¢ | $46 | $45 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+23%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 25 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 23 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 23 | $41 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 23 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 22 | $45 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $87 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $66 | −$6 | -10% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 12 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 10 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025? | Dec 23 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | May 10 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Malcolm Ranjith be the next pope? | May 10 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Apr 18? | Apr 21 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Trump pardon 250-499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days? | Apr 03 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 02 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Mar 31 | $3 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Dillon Danis win the match? | Mar 30 | $22 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 21-28? | Mar 26 | $21 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will “Adolescence: Limited Series” be the top global Netflix show this | Mar 22 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 21 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will 'Snow White' gross less than 34m on opening weekend? | Mar 21 | $19 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or | Mar 20 | $17 | +$3 | +18% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 57°F or higher on March 4? | Mar 03 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Hurricanes vs. Red Wings | Mar 03 | $18 | $0 | +0% |