Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:51:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6d24…fe4d
crypto · 197 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$300 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$731 · open +$52
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$302
Realized+$731
Unrealized+$52
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses118 / 78
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)196 / 197
History coverage5d
Avg bet$69
Trades / day125.8
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 196 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$804
7 days+$731
14 days+$731
30 days+$731
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 66¢ 80¢ $250 $302 +$52 (+21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $320 +$64 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $511 −$121 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $514 +$226 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $258 +$93 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $257 +$64 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $307 +$118 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $309 +$66 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $305 +$34 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $610 +$63 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $306 +$84 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $610 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $612 −$120 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $608 +$51 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $306 +$79 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $155 −$132 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $308 +$101 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $254 −$86 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$53 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $102 +$17 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $102 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $102 +$27 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $389 +$68 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $194 +$100 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$84 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$62 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$49 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$73 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$5 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$15 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$9 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$10 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$22 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$12 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $41 +$7 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $82 +$19 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $41 +$7 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$794
world 2% −$11
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $256 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $69 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $255 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $321 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $256 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $351 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $257 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $33 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $63 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $425 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $257 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $315 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $256 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $350 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $258 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $321 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $257 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $426 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $307 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $375 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $309 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $339 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $305 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $320 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $303 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $354 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $307 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $356 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $306 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 196 -9.0% -17.6% 60% 39% -4.4%
≤30d 196 -9.0% -17.6% 60% 39% -4.4%
≤90d 196 -9.0% -17.6% 60% 39% -4.4%
all 196 -9.0% -17.6% 60% 39% -4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover125.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.6% 39% -4.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.5% 24% -13.6%
15% -32.7% 12% -21.9%
20% -39.3% 6% -29.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $302.02 · official $195.65 · 652 history records