Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:46:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6d1a…97fb
crypto · 1156 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$347 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$347 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$347
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses656 / 636
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1292 / 1156
History coverage17d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day145.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1292 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$282
7 days−$313
14 days−$333
30 days−$347
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 51¢ 40¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-23.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 873 -22.5% -29.9% 46% 42% -23.8%
≤30d 1292 -15.3% -23.4% 51% 48% -19.6%
≤90d 1292 -15.3% -23.4% 51% 48% -19.6%
all 1292 -15.3% -23.4% 51% 48% -19.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover145.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.4% 48% -19.6%
10% ← realistic here -30.7% 42% -27.3%
15% -37.4% 32% -34.3%
20% -43.5% 25% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.81 · official $1.01 (match) · 3500 history records