Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:45:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6d18…d16c
crypto · 1333 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$363 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$363 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$363
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses568 / 765
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1333 / 1333
History coverage41d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day59.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 1333 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$150
14 days−$193
30 days−$325
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +53%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +106%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +46%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$297
other 4% −$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 41m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 44m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 57m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-18.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 403 -14.1% -22.3% 45% 43% -20.2%
≤30d 968 -12.1% -20.4% 41% 40% -20.3%
≤90d 1333 -9.3% -18.0% 43% 41% -17.8%
all 1333 -9.3% -18.0% 43% 41% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.0% 41% -17.8%
10% ← realistic here -25.8% 38% -25.7%
15% -33.0% 36% -32.9%
20% -39.6% 33% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records