Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:10:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6d07…33d4
sports · 445 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$229 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$111 · open +$106
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$326
Realized+$111
Unrealized+$106
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses186 / 231
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions25
Markets (closed)417 / 445
History coverage48d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day13.1
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 25 History 417 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days−$7
14 days+$109
30 days+$126
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 28¢ 88¢ $51 $158 +$108 (+213%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 11¢ $21 $28 +$7 (+34%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $22 $19 −$2 (-11%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $22 $18 −$4 (-16%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-9%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-3%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 18¢ 19¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+8%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 50¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 50¢ 50¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 56¢ 60¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+6%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 31¢ 32¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 51¢ 52¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 54¢ 55¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox 45¢ 47¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 50¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 49¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 49¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles San Diego Padres 43¢ 46¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins 42¢ 42¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 42¢ 42¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 37¢ 34¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 38¢ 40¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 19¢ 19¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +223%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $3 +$5 +156%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $3 +$5 +152%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $4 +$4 +119%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $3 +$4 +157%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $7 +$3 +39%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 10 $30 +$18 +60%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $4 +$4 +109%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $3 +$5 +134%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $4 +$4 +89%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $4 +$4 +109%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $4 −$4 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $4 −$4 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $4 −$4 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $4 +$6 +152%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $2 +$2 +100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 08 $4 −$4 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 08 $4 −$4 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 08 $3 −$3 -98%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $2 +$5 +180%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 07 $3 +$4 +105%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $4 −$4 -100%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $2 +$3 +105%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 07 $4 −$4 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 49% +$14
other 43% +$11
politics 4% +$223
crypto 3% −$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $3 6m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 50¢ $4 3h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY 13¢ $4 4h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY 11¢ $4 4h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY 9¢ $2 4h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 54¢ $3 5h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 51¢ $3 9h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 42¢ $2 12h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 38¢ $2 13h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 49¢ $2 14h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 37¢ $1 15h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 37¢ $1 15h
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele SELL Yes 87¢ $19 15h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 42¢ $1 15h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 42¢ $1 16h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 49¢ $2 16h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 56¢ $3 16h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 43¢ $2 17h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 50¢ $3 17h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $5 17h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 17h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 31¢ $3 19h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $3 22h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 34¢ $3 40h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 41h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 19¢ $2 41h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 90¢ $7 43h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 72¢ $7 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 -3.9% -13.0% 43% 43% -11.7%
≤30d 304 +2.4% -7.3% 46% 45% -0.4%
≤90d 417 +2.8% -6.9% 45% 43% -5.2%
all 417 +2.8% -6.9% 45% 43% -5.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.9% 43% -5.2%
10% -15.9% 43% -14.3%
15% -24.0% 42% -22.6%
20% -31.4% 41% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $325.84 · official $335.84 · 843 history records