Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T16:40:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6C 0x6cf8…2959 crypto 796 markets active 1h ago coverage 41d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$60 (-3%) realized −$60 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate56%442W / 354L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day29.9pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$112
sports 1% +$2
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -29.6% -36.3% 21% 21% -32.8%
≤30d 33 -29.6% -36.3% 21% 21% -32.8%
≤90d 796 -4.1% -13.2% 56% 26% -15.7%
all 796 -4.1% -13.2% 56% 26% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover29.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 26% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 21% -23.7%
15% -29.1% 18% -31.1%
20% -36.0% 17% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
52% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +15% → late -23% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.66 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses442 / 354
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)796 / 796
History coverage41d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day29.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 796 Trades
no open positions (28 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +101%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$2 +166%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$2 +181%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$4 +374%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$6 +302%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$4 +398%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 10 $2 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 10 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 10 $1 +$2 +190%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 10 $5 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 10 $6 −$1 -17%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 10 $7 −$1 -15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 10 $1 +$2 +173%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2027 history records