Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:47:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6cf4…e1fa
crypto · 1103 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$32 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$30
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)2%
Wins / losses8 / 494
Open positions5
Markets (closed)502 / 1103
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day3492.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 5 History 502 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$30
14 days−$30
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$731
other 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-73.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 502 -70.4% -73.3% 2% 2% -60.6%
≤30d 502 -70.4% -73.3% 2% 2% -60.6%
≤90d 502 -70.4% -73.3% 2% 2% -60.6%
all 502 -70.4% -73.3% 2% 2% -60.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3492.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -73.3% 2% -60.6%
10% ← realistic here -75.8% 1% -64.4%
15% -78.2% 1% -67.8%
20% -80.3% 1% -71.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.30 · official $2.30 (match) · 3500 history records