Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:39:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6ceb…e6e3
crypto · 38 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$50 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$50 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$143
Realized+$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses31 / 3
Open positions4
Markets (closed)34 / 38
History coverage445d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 4 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $53 $53 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 8-14? No 100¢ 100¢ $39 $39 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 8-14? No 99¢ 99¢ $27 $27 −$0 (-0%)
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No 100¢ 100¢ $24 $24 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 12 $16 $0 +0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 12 $19 $0 +1%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Jun 07 $23 $0 -1%
Trump out as President by May 31? Jun 07 $11 $0 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? Jun 07 $12 $0 +1%
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026? May 21 $15 $0 +2%
Will NVIDIA reach $280 in March? May 21 $21 $0 +0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 21 $22 $0 +0%
Trump out as President by March 31? Mar 03 $21 $0 -1%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 24? Mar 03 $13 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 24? Mar 03 $14 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 5? Feb 24 $18 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 5? Feb 24 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,400 on January 5? Feb 24 $21 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 23? Jan 05 $10 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 23 Jan 05 $12 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 2 Jan 05 $13 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 23? Jan 05 $23 $0 +1%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Dec 23 $22 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 1 Dec 23 $16 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 18 Dec 23 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 18? Dec 18 $17 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 18? Dec 18 $40 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,700 and $3,800 on November 5? Nov 18 $57 $0 +0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? Nov 05 $12 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? Nov 05 $20 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum dip to $2600 in October? Nov 05 $24 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September? Oct 09 $56 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August? Sep 09 $942 +$65 +7%
Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in July? Aug 09 $55 $0 +0%
China x Taiwan military clash by June 30? Jul 18 $55 +$1 +2%
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? Jun 09 $51 +$3 +6%
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31? May 20 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? May 20 $51 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% +$68
world 6% +$1
politics 4% +$3
tech 4% −$23
other 2% $0
economics 2% $0
finance 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 8-14? BUY No 99¢ $27 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $53 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 8-14? BUY No 100¢ $39 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? BUY No 99¢ $19 5d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $16 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $12 5d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? BUY No 99¢ $12 22d
Trump out as President by May 31? BUY No 100¢ $11 22d
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $12 22d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 BUY No 100¢ $24 22d
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on BUY No 100¢ $22 101d
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $15 101d
Will NVIDIA reach $280 in March? BUY No 99¢ $21 101d
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $11 101d
Trump out as President by March 31? SELL No 97¢ $21 101d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 24? BUY No 100¢ $14 108d
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 24? BUY No 100¢ $13 108d
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $11 108d
Trump out as President by March 31? BUY No 98¢ $21 108d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 5? BUY No 100¢ $18 158d
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 5? BUY No 100¢ $20 158d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,400 on January 5? BUY No 100¢ $21 158d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 23? BUY No 99¢ $23 171d
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 23? BUY No 98¢ $10 171d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 23 BUY No 99¢ $12 171d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 2 BUY No 99¢ $13 171d
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? SELL No 99¢ $22 171d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 18 BUY No 100¢ $20 176d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 1 BUY No 100¢ $16 176d
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? BUY No 99¢ $22 176d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +0.4% -9.1% 80% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 8 +0.6% -9.0% 88% 0% -9.1%
≤90d 8 +0.6% -9.0% 88% 0% -9.1%
all 34 -1.9% -11.3% 91% 0% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.3% 0% -7.0%
10% -19.8% 0% -15.9%
15% -27.5% 0% -24.0%
20% -34.6% 0% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $142.84 · official $142.84 (match) · 79 history records