trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Knicks | 30¢ | 18¢ | $24 | $15 | −$9 (-38%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | Down | 55¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | Down | 29¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | Up | 34¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | Up | 38¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | Up | 30¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | Down | 55¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | Up | 16¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | Up | 2¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | Down | 26¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 14 | $16 | −$2 | -12% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | Jun 14 | $10 | −$1 | -11% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | Jun 14 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | Jun 14 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | Jun 14 | $26 | −$3 | -10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | Jun 14 | $31 | +$24 | +79% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | Jun 14 | $10 | −$4 | -36% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | Jun 14 | $5 | +$1 | +10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | Jun 14 | $10 | +$7 | +69% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | Jun 14 | $26 | −$25 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | +$7 | +127% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | Jun 13 | $26 | −$25 | -96% |
| Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | Jun 13 | $11 | +$23 | +222% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | Jun 13 | $10 | +$3 | +28% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | Jun 13 | $10 | −$5 | -48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | -26.7% | -33.7% | 30% | 25% | -36.1% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -26.7% | -33.7% | 30% | 25% | -36.1% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -26.7% | -33.7% | 30% | 25% | -36.1% |
| all | 20 | -26.7% | -33.7% | 30% | 25% | -36.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -33.7% | 25% | -36.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -40.0% | 25% | -42.2% |
| 15% | -45.8% | 20% | -47.8% |
| 20% | -51.1% | 20% | -52.9% |